Which bias involves perceiving events as more predictable than they actually are?

• A. Hindsight bias
• B. Framing bias
• C. Unstructured interviews
• D. Structured interview

Answer: (A)

Hindsight bias is the tendency to see events as having been predictable after they have already occurred. When you know the outcome, you often feel that you would have predicted it all along, reconstructing your memory and judgments to fit what happened. This creates an illusion that the result was obvious in advance and can distort learning from past decisions, since the uncertainty at the time isn’t fully recognized.

Framing bias involves how information is presented and can steer choices based on presentation rather than content. Unstructured and structured interviews are formats or methods, not biases. So the scenario best matches hindsight bias because it specifically describes reinterpreting past events as more predictable once the outcome is known.